Turnout was up overall, but especially for Netanyahu's bloc, and most of all among Haredim. And while he optimized his bloc to beat the threshold, his opponents emphatically didn't

As the election race enters the final straight, Religious Zionism becomes a problem for Likud, Yesh Atid courts female voters, Gantz shifts focus, Arab parties aim to boost turnout

The blocs have remained remarkably stable; even support for the parties within the blocs has been fairly steady; but then, of course, the real campaign is only starting now

Maintaining good relations with all sides, the defense minister is hoping neither Lapid nor Netanyahu can get 61seats, and he'll sweep in as the 'palatable compromise candidate'

2021's vote saw a major drop-off in turnout from right-leaning and religious areas compared to 2020; in this campaign's final month, Likud will focus on reversing that trend

He wants to grow Yesh Atid's share of the anti-Netanyahu vote, without pushing Labor, Meretz or even Yisrael Beytenu below the threshold

As our comparative data shows, the answer to that question right now depends on who's doing the polling

The Arab parties fare better when running together, yet Ra'am is determined to continue its independent course. It sat in the anti-Bibi coalition last time, but alliances can shift

Protest party Fiery Youth hopes to replicate the Pensioners' longshot success of 2006. But it could also meet the same fate as 2021's quickly forgotten Shulmanim

In the past 3 elections, the polling 2 months out was remarkably close to the eventual results, certainly regarding the blocs, suggesting accuracy and pretty settled public opinion