The prevailing assessment in the defense and security establishment is that while Israel has restored deterrence against terrorist groups in the Gaza Strip for the short term, in the absence of any advancement towards a long-term peace deal, the calm restored on Monday will not hold for more than a few weeks.
Although no Israeli officials are saying so, Remembrance Day and Independence Day, as well as next week’s Eurovision song competition extravaganza, were main considerations in Israel’s decision to hold back, and the defense establishment was working under instructions not to cross any lines that might worsen the escalation.
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