A survey released on Channel 12 News on Monday night reveals that in the current political landscape, Benny Gantz’s party would secure 37 seats in the Knesset, while the Likud would trail behind with 18 seats.
Yesh Atid would secure 15 seats, Shas 11, Yisrael Beytenu 9, Otzma Yehudit 8, United Torah Judaism 7, and Hadash-Ta’al, Meretz, and Ra’am each would garner 5 seats.
Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party, Balad, and Labor fall below the electoral threshold. Labor, in response, is gearing up for upcoming primaries for both its Knesset slate and the party chairmanship, as Merav Michaeli plans to step down.
The poll highlights that the existing government coalition, excluding Gantz’s National Unity Party, would only secure 44 seats, whereas the opposition, including National Unity and excluding Hadash-Ta’al, would amass 71 seats.
In a hypothetical scenario presented to participants, where parties led by Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen are in contention, and Labor and Meretz run on a united slate led by Yair Golan, Gantz’s National Unity Party emerges as the front-runner with 23 seats. The Likud, led by Benjamin Netanyahu, secures 15 seats, while Naftali Bennett’s party claims the third spot with 13 seats. Shas maintains its strength with 11 seats, and Yesh Atid secures 10 seats.
The united Labor and Meretz, led by Yair Golan, as well as a party led by Yossi Cohen, each garner 9 seats. United Torah Judaism and Otzma Yehudit secure 7 seats each, Yisrael Beytenu claims 6 seats, and the Arab parties Hadash-Ta’al and Ra’am each secure 5 seats. Similar to the initial scenario, the Religious Zionist Party and Balad fall below the electoral threshold.
Participants were also questioned about their stance on transferring power in Gaza to the Palestinian Authority post-war. The results indicate that 19% support the transfer, 54% oppose it, and 27% responded with “I don’t know.”
Breaking down the responses further, among self-identified right-wing individuals, 9% support the transfer, while 73% oppose it. In the center-left category, 34% support the transfer, and 27% oppose it.