President Joe Biden and his advisers are allegedly dismissing significant negative polling data, despite repeated warnings from media allies to moderate the administration’s far-left policies.
According to New York Times/Siena/Philadelphia Inquirer polling on Monday, former President Donald Trump leads Biden in five of the six swing states and has made historic inroads with Hispanic, black, and young voters.
Despite various polls since November confirming these trends, Biden, 81, and many of his advisers reportedly do not believe the negative surveys, considering them inaccurate, Axios reported:
This core belief has guided Biden’s mostly steady campaign approach — despite pressure from many Democrats outside the White House to change course, given Biden’s polling lag compared to four years ago. Biden ignored the warnings and accused allies of not reporting positive national polls, such as a recent PBS/Marist poll:
“While the press doesn’t write about it, the momentum is clearly in our favor, with the polls moving towards us and away from Trump,” Biden told donors.
“In the last 23 national polls, I’ve been ahead in 10 of them, Trump has been ahead in eight, and we’ve been tied in five,” Biden said, citing polls by Marist, Echelon Insights, and Marquette.
“We run strongest among likely voters in the polling data,” Biden told elite donors. “And while the national polls basically have us up by four among registered voters, among likely voters we’re up by more.”
Swing state polling is seen as a better indicator of presidential campaign success than national polling. Many swing state polls show Trump leading Biden. The latest Times poll, published on Monday, showed Trump gaining eight percentage points among 2020 swing state voters who cast ballots for Biden. It also revealed that a majority of swing state voters said there is “not really any chance” they would vote for Biden.
“For the Joe Biden campaign, these numbers are an absolute disaster,” CNN’s Harry Enten reported on the Times polling data. “Thirteen in Nevada. My goodness gracious. My God. That is a huge lead. No Democrat has lost that state since John Kerry lost it back in 2004.”
Seven states — Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina — will decide the presidency, according to longtime Democrat adviser Doug Sosnik. If Trump wins one or more of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, Biden’s chances of reaching 270 electoral votes become slim.
If Biden wins all the blue wall states, he will essentially win reelection without winning any of the Sun Belt states. “But if he loses all four competitive Sun Belt states, Biden can’t afford to drop any of the Blue Wall states,” wrote Steven Shepard, Politico’s senior campaign and elections editor and chief polling analyst. “And given the size of Michigan (15 electoral votes) and Pennsylvania (19 electoral votes), it’s difficult for Biden to cobble together any Electoral College majority without them, even if he manages to hold Arizona or Nevada.”
Biden campaign pollster Molly Murphy disagreed with the campaign’s failure to heed the warnings.
“This campaign is not arguing for the status quo,” she told the Times. “The most important piece is acknowledging that people are still feeling frustrated and behind, and that the problems and the struggles that people are facing were not caused by this president and in fact have been alleviated by Biden.”
{Matzav.com}