New York Times political analyst Nate Cohn says that so-called “shy Trump voters” could once again skew poll results in favor of former President Donald Trump. In a report based on the Times’ final poll with Siena College, Cohn highlighted inconclusive results in seven key battleground states, noting potential polling inaccuracies due to nonresponse bias among Republican voters. The final survey shows a mixed picture in battleground states, with Trump leading Kamala Harris by four points in Arizona and one point in Michigan. Harris, meanwhile, leads by one point in Georgia and three points in Nevada, North Carolina, and Wisconsin. Both candidates are neck and neck in Pennsylvania, widely considered a critical swing state for either side.
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