With barely a week to go until the 2024 presidential election, new poll averages from Decision Desk HQ/The Hill reveal former President Donald Trump holding a narrow lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in every key battleground state. The data, which includes averages from dozens of recent polls, shows Trump gaining ground in states critical to securing an Electoral College victory. In Florida, where 26 polls were analyzed, Trump leads Harris with 51.7% to her 45.1%, a margin of 6.6 points. This represents a significant shift in Trump’s favor, with a 2.0-point increase since last month. Nevada also shows a close race, with Trump narrowly leading Harris 48.1% to 47.2% based on 43 polls. Trump has increased his lead here by 1.2 points since the previous month’s data, highlighting the growing competition in a state where Democrats traditionally perform well. In Arizona, which has emerged as a crucial battleground in recent elections, Trump holds a 49.2% to 47.3% edge over Harris, based on 60 polls. The former president’s lead has grown by 1.2 points since last month, indicating a shift in favor of the Republican candidate. Georgia shows a similar pattern, with Trump at 48.8% compared to Harris’ 47.4% in an analysis of 56 polls. Trump has increased his margin by 1.0 point over the past month, making Georgia a pivotal state to watch. In Wisconsin, another critical swing state, Trump leads with 48.5% compared to Harris’ 48.1%, based on data from 67 polls. His lead, albeit slim, has increased by 0.7 points over the previous month. The story is similar in Pennsylvania, where Trump holds a narrow lead of 48.5% to Harris’ 48.1%, based on 89 polls. Trump’s margin in Pennsylvania has also grown by 0.7 points since last month, underscoring the competitive nature of the state. North Carolina shows Trump leading by 1.5 points with 49.1% support, compared to Harris’ 47.6% in an average of 59 polls. Trump’s lead in this state has risen by 0.4 points over the past month. Finally, in Michigan, Trump leads by a slim margin of 48.2% to Harris’ 47.9% from a compilation of 66 polls, reflecting a 0.3-point gain since last month. (YWN World Headquarters – NYC)
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