CNN senior political data reporter Harry Enten on Wednesday pointed to several indicators that former President Donald Trump could defeat Vice President Kamala Harris in the upcoming presidential election, calling a potential Trump victory an “obvious” possibility. In a segment with CNN anchor John Berman, Enten outlined data showing a challenging path for Democrats in the final days of the campaign. One major obstacle for Harris, according to Enten, is public dissatisfaction with the country’s direction. Drawing from an aggregate of polls, Enten noted that incumbents whose parties win reelection average around 42% satisfaction with the country’s trajectory, while those who lose average closer to 25%. The current rating stands at 28%, historically correlating with incumbent party losses. “Very few Americans think the country is on the right track at this point. It’s in line with when the incumbent party loses, not when it wins,” Enten remarked, adding, “I went back through history, and there isn’t a single time with this low a percentage when the incumbent party has actually won.” Enten also highlighted a significant Republican advantage in voter registration, particularly in battleground states like Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania, where GOP voter registration is outpacing Democratic efforts. Enten underscored that Republicans are strategically bolstering their base, shrinking the registration gap. “If Trump does win, the signs all along will have been obvious,” Enten warned, noting key factors like low national satisfaction and voter registration gains for Republicans. “You can’t say you weren’t warned,” he added. (YWN World Headquarters – NYC)
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